Point Alpha - 0.35 Light Years from Earth
#1 Shana vs. #16 Holo
1981 ← 1932
"Somehow... I feel vulnerable here." Believe me, either one of them has every right to feel vulnerable here. Despite what the regular season records say, not to mention the seemingly obvious implication that a #1 always has the advantage against the #16 seed, Shana does not have this match in the bag. Out of all the #16 seeds that can possibly scrape her way into the tourney, Holo is one of the few candidates out there that have defeated Shana in the past. In Korea 2008, Holo defeated Shana 4507-4147 in the semifinal en route to winning the Korea Best Moe championship, a match considered to be perhaps one of the greatest upsets in Saimoe circuit history, and although Shana defeated Holo twice in ISML, it could not compare to the intensity that this match brings, especially with the heavenly tiara at stake. Despite this, Shana has been on a tear in ISML as of late, with her previous loss dating back to a staggering five months ago, which leaves the rest of the candidates hoping that she goes out of the tourney as early as possible. In other words, the flame haze is the first target, but will our favorite werewolf pull off the upset again?
Point Beta - 0.70 Light Years from Earth
#15 Shinku vs. #2 Suzumiya Haruhi
1887 → 2125
"I have to survive. Losing it all... it's too painful to think about it." Hopefully, Haruhi has gotten over the pains of losing the opportunity to pull off an undefeated season, because now is not the time to be thinking about losing. Making the postseason is what the regular season is all about, and working extra hard to acheive a higher seed and possibly a better chance of winning out is a deserving bonus, especially when the tiara is so heavily desired by many. After all, Haruhi's first opponent in the judgment round came back from a dismal (17-45-1) 2008 season to barely make the cut for a probable once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. So far, Shinku has impressed many by recording one of the most unbelievable comebacks in ISML history, and chances are she may not be done yet. At this point, she might even be the favorite to win this match. Shinku outlasted Haruhi by only 90 in Diamond 7, and with Haruhi continuing to slip as Shinku peaks, this match may even be more lopsided. Can Haruhi turn her luck around or will we actually see a #15 seed in the winner's bracket?
Point Gamma - 1.05 Light Years from Earth
#3 Sakagami Tomoyo vs. #14 Takamachi Nanoha
2095 ← 1640
"How long has it been since I've last seen my family?" Ironically, the winner of this match will face the winner of the other school president vs. mahou shoujo match this Thursday, but even if the other match is uncertain, this match may be even more certain than others. While Sakagami Tomoyo ranks third per votes received and second in least votes received against throughout the regular season, as expected for a #3 seed, Takamachi Nanoha ranks twenty-fifth in votes received and twenty-second in least votes against. In fact, there are five candidates who have ranked ahead of Nanoha in both of these categories that are completely blocked out from the postseason. Conspiracy perhaps? One can argue that Nanoha did not need to go on the offensive to win these matches, but given that Tomoyo's consistency in both offense and defense rivals that of Shana, it may take much more of an effort for Nanoha to be able to join her best friend as the only two tiara-bearers of ISML at least for a year. Can Raising Heart find the glory of her 2005 years and win, or will the presider of the sakura trees move on toward her next challenge?
Point Delta - 1.40 Light Years from Earth
#13 Suiseiseki vs. #4 Fujibayashi Kyō
1983 → 2003
"Am I doing this for my other half... or my own?" Fujibayashi Kyō was fortunate that she had never heard of anything "Saimoe" at the time the Jade Stern dominated the reigns of Japan and Korea. She was fortunate that by the time she got involved in ISML en route to a post season appearance, the "desu queen" was merely one of the pack. Well, Kyō is fortunate no more, because Suiseiseki is back, and she may be even better than ever. With a full streak of victories throughout the latter half of the regular season, including a dominating Emerald performance, it seems that Suiseiseki is ready to win a contest she has never won before. Sure, it took some time to get used to a round-robin league format after being trained in the style of single-elimination, but it looks like the time for rebirth is nigh for the legend. Don't count out the Saimoe sophomore though. Not only can Kyō throw a book with a high rate of velocity, but she can win, and despite not winning a necklace to add to her '08 Sapphire, she has been winning. It's a clash of older twin sisters in the middle of space, but who will pull out a crucial first round victory in the middle of nowhere?
Point Epsilon - 1.75 Light Years from Earth
#5 Suigintou vs. #12 Asahina Mikuru
2265 ← 1789
"If only I could change the past..." The good news: The only SOS Brigade member left out of the double-elimination ritual last year finally made it in this year. The bad news: she's up against one of the three candidates many have picked to win this tourney. With the storied Amethyst spark that sparked Suigintou from low-tier top 16 candidate to one of the most feared candidates in the league, Asahina Mikuru may be in for a world of hurt despite doing exceptionally well throughout the regular season. Or it may be all for naught. Both candidates here like to go on the offense, as both candidates rank in the top 6 as the only candidates to hit the 100,000 votes attained mark for the regular season. While this may insinuate an even pairing, Suigintou has been on a hot streak as of late, and chances are she will be looking forward to not only a win over Mikuru but also a win over the Kyō/Suiseiseki winner as well. But Mikuru can't hand this match over, as Suzumiya Haruhi and Nagato Yuki are going to be looking on as well, and she is in no position to be left behind. Can this time-traveler upthrone one of the favorites to win the double-elim, or will the Mercury Lampe take her hot streak and "A" game into the winner's second round?
Point Zeta - 2.10 Light Years from Earth
#11 Katsura Hinagiku vs. #6 Fate Testarossa
1949 ← 1768
"Would I still be here if my mother loved me?" Here's the thing with these two: win or lose, both have a 50-50 chance of facing one of their friends in the next round. That's also a 25% chance of having to eliminate one of your friends from the tourney. So number one, both are hoping they don't have to do that. B, both have to defeat the other so that they don't have to face the pains of eliminating a friend. Ignoring the intangibles for the moment, this match looks to favor Katsura Hinagiku slightly, as not only has she had better overall statistics than Fate, but she also has the on-air advantage. On the other hand, Hinagiku has a fear of heights, meaning 2 light-years away from Earth could be more than too much for her. That being said, while Hinagiku has been hanging with Sakagami Tomoyo for quite some time now, that's nothing compared to what we know of the relationship between Takamachi Nanoha and Fate Testarossa, and neither want to see the other in an elimination round, meaning this match is a must win situation at all costs. It is possible we could see either scenario in the next few rounds, but right now, what matters is this match here. Can Hinagiku get used to space travel and pull of a victory or will Fate take one step closer toward defending her title?
Point Eta - 2.45 Light Years from Earth
#7 Nagato Yuki vs. #10 Aisaka Taiga
2053 ← 1814
"Is this really the power of the heavenly tiara?" Aisaka Taiga might be getting used to this. She's successfully backed up her place in ISML's DE by making the top 16 in Saimoe Japan and top 8 in Korea Best Moe, both contests still going. While those results may be her only attempt at Japan and Korea in her career, if she keeps this performance up, she will be a developing force to beat in the long run. Tonight, however, she runs into a KyoAni powerhouse in Nagato Yuki, who has seen her share of success in Saimoe's past despite never claiming a championship victory. If Taiga has brushed up on her history in the past month off, she knows that Yuki has finished 2nd in this very tournament last year, and while her stock may be slipping, she knows how to at least get to the final round of this tourney. This could be where the newcomer gets into trouble, as last year's runner-up will accept nothing short of a championship win. Can Yuki begin the road to redemption with a win today, or wil Taiga start her own success chapters in Saimoe history?
Point Theta - 2.80 Light Years from Earth
#9 Hiiragi Kagami vs. #8 Tōsaka Rin
1772 → 1989
"Everyone has a motive for being chosen... so why don't I?" It's been a while since Fate/Stay Night came anywhere near a top 16 appearance of any kind. It's been so long that no one probably remembers anyone from that series other than Saber or Tōsaka Rin, so it's rather surprising that after just a top 24 finish last year, Rin emerged as one of the candidates to beat in double-elimination, or better yet, just squeaked into the top half. However, she now faces a tough challenge in the latest of the Saimoe Japan coronations, Hiiragi Kagami, whom has slipped out of the top-tier category and into a quiet #9 seed. Despite this, the two-time necklace winner is the only Lucky Star candidate left in this tourney, and if her survival in Korea Best Moe is any indication, it's an indication that she's still going to battle for the crown, and after her loss to Fate out in the Winner's bracket last year, it will be to no surprise that winning the championship will be the only route to satisfaction. Can Kagami's experience hold out in this match or will Rin emerge as the victor in her first stint in double-elimination?
Thanks to minhtam1638 for providing this round's match descriptions.
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